Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply

Sub-2 Hour Marathon In Our Lifetime?

In the weeks following Haile Gebrselassie’s world record Marathon run of 2:03:59 in Berlin, speculation has been rife of a sub 2 hour marathon in our lifetime! With the dramatic drop in the Marathon world record over the last 10 years, sports promoters are naturally excited, but is a sub-2 marathon likely or even possible?

Sports scientist Ross Tucker, presents a more analytical look at the chances of one day seeing a sub-2 hour marathon run. He borrows a little from the history of the event and also the commercial aspects that might in some respects prevent great athletes from breaking the record. He then speculates on who might come through in our lifetimes.

The Key Points:

  • Marathon running is in something of a golden era, 10 years ago the marathon world record stood at 2:06:50 and since then has dropped almost 3 minutes!
  • When the next generation of endurance runners, the Tergat’s, the Gebrselassie’s, the Hissou’s, moved up to the marathon and the anticipated “overhauls” in the Marathon were proven correct
  • Ross correlates what’s happening in the marathon with what happened over 5,000m and 10,000m on the track in the 1990’s – the 10,000m was lowered an incredible 30 seconds over a four year period when Gebrselassie, Hissou and Tergat were going at it! The point being that this kind of performance over 10,000m predicted what would eventually happen in the marathon, because the best predictor of Marathon performance is 10k time.
  • While the drop in 10,000m world record was dramatic, it has recently plateaued, and come down less than 5 seconds since 1998 (thanks to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia), a similar thing has happened in the 5,000m, which fell by a staggering 18 seconds in the four years up to 1998, then took another six years to fall just 2 seconds (Bekele again)
  • This would indicate that while there has been a dramatic decrease in times in the marathon, it is unlikely to keep falling at the same rate.

So it seems a sub 2-hour Marathon is unlikely for a while yet and this is not even taking into account the commercial aspect of professional Marathon running – Ross has some thoughts as well as an opinion on the most likely candidates to lower the world record, it’s an interesting read.

Leave a Reply